Doors close
17 September 2020 0 comments
"The economy of restaurants has not recovered": the restaurateur commented on the message about the mass closure of cafes and shops. "
According to the specialist, restaurants continue to suffer losses and many of them are forced to stop their activities
The Moscow commercial real estate market is experiencing an outflow of tenants amid the crisis. According to the consulting company Knight Frank, the number of available seats in metropolitan shopping centers reaches 9.5%. At the same time, an average of 11% of the area is empty in new shopping centers. The rental cost has already decreased by an average of 25%.
In street retail (retail premises located on the first floors of buildings), the vacancy reached 11.5% in June 2020. The last major anti-record was recorded in 2016 - then the share of unoccupied space reached 13%. According to JLL estimates, by the end of the year the share of empty premises in the Moscow market can reach 14%, and in St. Petersburg - 15% against 11.6% at present.
Restaurateur, chairman of the restaurant business committee of the Business Russia MRO Sergey Mironov confirmed to Moskovskaya Gazeta that restaurants continue to suffer losses and many of them are forced to close.
"Everything is bad enough in the restaurant market. With few exceptions, restaurants continue to suffer losses. That is, many restaurants that are now operating not only do not repel the losses that they suffered during the pandemic, but now they continue to increase. Many were helped by government loans, but this did not become a rescue, because losses continue to increase. According to the results of August, if I am not mistaken, restaurants worked in an average of minus 30% of last year's indicators. Some restaurants have still not opened, while some predict closure before the new year. So pessimism in the market is felt. And it is not even caused by the expectation of the "second wave," although they are also afraid of it, but by the fact that the restaurant economy has not recovered. But even if it does recover, we understand that the dollar and the euro are growing, the cost is growing, and it is not clear how to get out of this crisis. That is, today the restaurant market lives one day. There are no normal plans, no normal forecasts, it is impossible to build a budget for the year, no one understands what it will result in. Accordingly, this is a serious pessimism for investors, that is, new restaurants open very poorly, and existing ones do not invest in development.
The deferred demand, which everyone hoped for, unfortunately, has already played its part. It must be understood that the deferred demand in the store and in the restaurant are two completely different things. If a person has not bought clothes for three months, then he needs to go and buy these clothes, which he does not have, but if a person has not eaten in a restaurant for three months, he will not eat what he did not eat for these three months. He will eat several times and this will end his need.
The next moment, not all customers went to work, respectively, all the restaurants that are in the center suffer losses. Many still remained on the "remote," many began to receive less, and therefore spend less on restaurants.
Well, in addition, the general mood of the population affects, in particular, the fear of the second wave - suddenly everyone will close again, and people will save funds. Even those who make money try to save them.
Well, another interesting point - during the pandemic, many are already used to not going to restaurants, so now they continue to use delivery. Such restaurants and cafes, and in this case we can talk about those who specialize in burgers, sushi, pizza, even add to the revenue. But this is all a niche of inexpensive establishments. If we talk about gastronomic restaurants, with complex exquisite dishes, then this is definitely not a delivery. When the restaurant begins to work for delivery, with all its desire in a gastronomic restaurant, it does not exceed 10% of its turnover. And what is 10%!? If a restaurant rents a room in the city center, pays a huge rent, it has expensive cooks, expensive equipment and huge loans. In this case, it is easier not to work at all than to work in this way. A huge minus, "- concluded the restaurateur.
The head of the Federation of restaurateurs and hoteliers Igor Bukharov previously noted that "the most dangerous time will be October and November, when it will be necessary to pay deferred taxes. Another problem is that most of the enterprises are being liquidated, because it seems that the money ran out not only from restaurateurs and hoteliers, but also in the state. "
In early August, he told Moskovskaya Gazeta that "42% of restaurants could not resume work after the pandemic. And the forecasts are very pessimistic. The industry is now negatively affected by the uncertainty factor: in conditions when the situation changes almost every day, no one knows whether there will be a "second wave" or not. In some regions, restrictive measures have not yet been completely lifted, closed restaurants are accumulating debts, purchasing power has decreased, and the government, I think, will no longer provide monetary assistance. Under these conditions, it is not known when the economy will return to the pre-crisis level. "
Recall that over the weekend, many countries of the world faced the beginning of the "second wave" of the spread of coronavirus.
At the same time, Muscovites are reassured by a new vaccine. As follows from the press release of the Moscow City Hall, residents of the capital will be able to be the first to receive a vaccine for COVID-19. Currently, volunteers are being vaccinated as part of post-registration clinical studies.
In five days, more than 250 people were vaccinated from coronavirus.
According to the specialist, restaurants continue to suffer losses and many of them are forced to stop their activities
The Moscow commercial real estate market is experiencing an outflow of tenants amid the crisis. According to the consulting company Knight Frank, the number of available seats in metropolitan shopping centers reaches 9.5%. At the same time, an average of 11% of the area is empty in new shopping centers. The rental cost has already decreased by an average of 25%.
In street retail (retail premises located on the first floors of buildings), the vacancy reached 11.5% in June 2020. The last major anti-record was recorded in 2016 - then the share of unoccupied space reached 13%. According to JLL estimates, by the end of the year the share of empty premises in the Moscow market can reach 14%, and in St. Petersburg - 15% against 11.6% at present.
Restaurateur, chairman of the restaurant business committee of the Business Russia MRO Sergey Mironov confirmed to Moskovskaya Gazeta that restaurants continue to suffer losses and many of them are forced to close.
"Everything is bad enough in the restaurant market. With few exceptions, restaurants continue to suffer losses. That is, many restaurants that are now operating not only do not repel the losses that they suffered during the pandemic, but now they continue to increase. Many were helped by government loans, but this did not become a rescue, because losses continue to increase. According to the results of August, if I am not mistaken, restaurants worked in an average of minus 30% of last year's indicators. Some restaurants have still not opened, while some predict closure before the new year. So pessimism in the market is felt. And it is not even caused by the expectation of the "second wave," although they are also afraid of it, but by the fact that the restaurant economy has not recovered. But even if it does recover, we understand that the dollar and the euro are growing, the cost is growing, and it is not clear how to get out of this crisis. That is, today the restaurant market lives one day. There are no normal plans, no normal forecasts, it is impossible to build a budget for the year, no one understands what it will result in. Accordingly, this is a serious pessimism for investors, that is, new restaurants open very poorly, and existing ones do not invest in development.
The deferred demand, which everyone hoped for, unfortunately, has already played its part. It must be understood that the deferred demand in the store and in the restaurant are two completely different things. If a person has not bought clothes for three months, then he needs to go and buy these clothes, which he does not have, but if a person has not eaten in a restaurant for three months, he will not eat what he did not eat for these three months. He will eat several times and this will end his need.
The next moment, not all customers went to work, respectively, all the restaurants that are in the center suffer losses. Many still remained on the "remote," many began to receive less, and therefore spend less on restaurants.
Well, in addition, the general mood of the population affects, in particular, the fear of the second wave - suddenly everyone will close again, and people will save funds. Even those who make money try to save them.
Well, another interesting point - during the pandemic, many are already used to not going to restaurants, so now they continue to use delivery. Such restaurants and cafes, and in this case we can talk about those who specialize in burgers, sushi, pizza, even add to the revenue. But this is all a niche of inexpensive establishments. If we talk about gastronomic restaurants, with complex exquisite dishes, then this is definitely not a delivery. When the restaurant begins to work for delivery, with all its desire in a gastronomic restaurant, it does not exceed 10% of its turnover. And what is 10%!? If a restaurant rents a room in the city center, pays a huge rent, it has expensive cooks, expensive equipment and huge loans. In this case, it is easier not to work at all than to work in this way. A huge minus, "- concluded the restaurateur.
The head of the Federation of restaurateurs and hoteliers Igor Bukharov previously noted that "the most dangerous time will be October and November, when it will be necessary to pay deferred taxes. Another problem is that most of the enterprises are being liquidated, because it seems that the money ran out not only from restaurateurs and hoteliers, but also in the state. "
In early August, he told Moskovskaya Gazeta that "42% of restaurants could not resume work after the pandemic. And the forecasts are very pessimistic. The industry is now negatively affected by the uncertainty factor: in conditions when the situation changes almost every day, no one knows whether there will be a "second wave" or not. In some regions, restrictive measures have not yet been completely lifted, closed restaurants are accumulating debts, purchasing power has decreased, and the government, I think, will no longer provide monetary assistance. Under these conditions, it is not known when the economy will return to the pre-crisis level. "
Recall that over the weekend, many countries of the world faced the beginning of the "second wave" of the spread of coronavirus.
At the same time, Muscovites are reassured by a new vaccine. As follows from the press release of the Moscow City Hall, residents of the capital will be able to be the first to receive a vaccine for COVID-19. Currently, volunteers are being vaccinated as part of post-registration clinical studies.
In five days, more than 250 people were vaccinated from coronavirus.